Making Money on Triple-Digit Oil

Wednesday trading action in crude oil saw the black gold stick its head above $100, which may be the least psychologically-significant round number out there since the people who do the trading are mostly professional speculators and energy companies who have lots of other things on their minds. In essence, this is not a retail market driven by reactionary extremes of emotion as much as it is a battle of titans who use either arsenals of supply/demand data or algorithmic trading firepower, or both, to move the price.

Despite the occasional fear spike due to Middle East tensions, or covert price manipulation at physical market delivery hubs (as is being investigated regarding the 2008 price highs above $140), the pros aren't scrambling to buy tops and sell bottoms because they aren't driven by fear -- greed maybe, but we'll get to that. And they don't necessarily care where the price of oil "should" be. They just want to know what the other guy will pay, and depending on their time horizon and how deep their pockets are, the energy trading firm that can make solid predictions about the next 3 days, 3 weeks, or 3 months wins big.

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